Basketball betting
New Player is a basketball betting strategy that is only relevant when transfers are possible.
The transitions of basketball players from one team to another can affect the strength of the entire team. Accordingly, the chances of winning the tournament change. For example, the likelihood of the Golden State Warriors' triumph with and without Stephen Curry and Draymond Green will differ.
Let's say the quote for a team to win in the regular season was 4.5, but with the appearance of a new strong player, or even two or three, the value drops to 4. If you react to the transfer earlier than the bookmaker's office, you can bet at an overestimated coefficient.
Another way to use the New Player strategy is to bet on the outcome of the match. Here the logic is the same, only you need to additionally make a reverse bet.
The quote for a team's win is 2.84, and for the success of its opponent – 1.5. The bet is made for 2.84. After the transfer, the values are converted, for example, 2.34-1.7. Now the opposite bet is made (on another team) – with odds of 1.7. As a result, profit is possible, regardless of the outcome of the meeting.
In order for the potential income to be higher, it is necessary to compare the odds of the bookmakers and select the maximum values.
The main thing is that bets are made taking into account the overtime, since in the event of a draw at the regulated time, both trades will lose.
It is also important to calculate the bet amounts correctly. For this, it is advisable to use the surebets calculator. Putting 150 rubles on W1 for 2.84, and then 250 rubles on W2 for 1.7, in any case, you will be able to earn 25 rubles.
The theory is clear, everything is simple. Practice is another matter.
The first problem that can be encountered is that the transfer did not take place. Or the player's transition did not significantly affect the odds, and the first bet has already been made. Naturally, she is unlikely to play.
The second difficulty is the number of matching events. It is not always advisable to monitor transfers in order to complete several transactions, even successful ones. Unless with an impressive deposit, when the income from one or two surebets will justify the time and effort spent.
The third pitfall is the list of tournaments. The NBA is unlikely to be suitable, since the league is strong and even, so the transition of even a top basketball player may have little or no effect on quotes. VTB United League and Euroleague – situational. The strongest European championships and even smallmarkets are much better suited, but there is less information about them.
The fourth point is that it is problematic for one bettor to react to any news before the analytical department of the bookmaker and play ahead of the curve.
For these reasons, one should be skeptical of the system. To earn money by betting on basketball, you should understand in detail the kind of sport, know the features of tournaments and teams, be able to highlight the basic information that affects the outcome in the first place, and correctly make predictions.
Alternative techniques:
- Live betting algorithms;
- Underdog betting strategy;
- Counterweight system.
It is advisable to use the “New Player” strategy only as an additional, auxiliary tool. For example, when analyzing the compositions of opponents. Before making a bet, consider the fact that the club may become stronger or weaker.
