Football Betting
Knowing what strategy a team or player will use in an individual sport, taking into account the current level of play and motivation, it is possible to choose a bet with a high probability of winning. But many teams play several game strategies at once:
- An attacking style with opponents of equal strength and weaker than yourself;
- Defensive in the event of a collision with an opponent is much stronger than himself;
- Combined, when there is no strong emphasis on defense and attack.
Top teams often use sharply attacking football.
Recently, in almost every national championship in football and hockey, teams have begun to appear that actively use strictly defensive football: bettors in their slang call this style of play “set the bus”. Even strong middle peasants do not hesitate to use it. It is worth carefully considering this strategy, it allows you to make frequent winning bets.
Content
- The essence of the “football bus”
- Signs of closed clubs
- Features of closed teams matches
- Meeting of two closed teams
- The defending club plays with a strong opponent
- What to bet on in matches with “buses”?
- Strong middle peasant – weak outsider
- Strong middle peasant – strong middle peasant
- Strong middle peasant is one of the championship leaders
- conclusions
The essence of the “football bus”
This strategy means one thing: the club plays with large forces near its gates, when almost 7-8 field players play the role of defenders. The coaching staff actively uses several game schemes:
- 5-3-2 (5 defenders, 3 midfielders and two forwards) or 5-4-1;
- 4-3-2-1 (4 defenders, 3 supporting midfielders acting to destroy the opponent's attacks, 2 attacking midfielders and one striker);
- 3-4-3 (3 central defenders, 4 midfielders playing to destroy the opponent's attacks).
Most often, the teams that set the “bus” use the first two schemes.
Such a scheme, 5-4-1, was used by Ufa in their home game with the RPL leader, which allowed them to win a dry victory.
Particular attention should be paid to midfielders, they are divided into two main categories: defensive and attacking. The main task of the defenders is to destroy the opponent's attack and try to connect the defense and the attack of your team. The main task of attacking midfielders is to ensure a rapid transition from defense to attack, quickly accelerating the attack of their team.
Defenders also fall into two categories: center and winger. The main task of the full-backs is to prevent the opponent from breaking through on the flank and to ensure a quick acceleration of his team's flank attack.
In a strictly defensive team, it is also called “closed”, central defenders (usually 4) and defensive midfielders (3) are actively used. Usually two attacking midfielders and one striker are deployed in the attack.
The main task of a strictly defending team is to defend with large forces near their goal, creating a high density near them, and when intercepting the ball, conduct a swift counterattack, when the opponent, organizing a positional attack, has strongly opened his rear. At the same time, a big stake is placed on rare standards.
The described strategy is most often used by weak middle peasants with a weak attack. In almost every national championship there is a strong middle peasant based on solid defense, which allows him to successfully compete for European cups.
Signs of closed clubs
Finding clubs that are strictly defensive or that often use overtly defensive play patterns is not difficult. To do this, you just need to look at the current standings.
In the 2019-2020 season, Sheffield United often played indoor football in the English Premier League.
If we take the low-rating championships, then in Belarus in the 2020 season, such a club was Dynamo Minsk.
In Russia, in the 2019-2020 season, Ufa and also Rubin were a distinctly closed club.
This is all clearly seen in the current indicators of goals scored and conceded: such teams are not distinguished by high performance, usually scoring an average of 1 goal per match, but they do not concede so much either. Having found such teams, it is worth seeing what they most often use the scheme of the game, it will be useful to watch video reviews of the last matches played. This will allow you to get a complete picture of them.
One of the striking signs of closed teams is low performance.
The meeting of clubs choosing a tight defense is also given out the odds in the line.
This is the line for the next round of the Russian championship in BC Betcity, where the odds on TM 2.5 can already be seen where the analysts of the offices assume low performance. And here special attention should be paid to the game “Ufa – CSKA”, one of the leaders of the championship comes to visit one of the middle peasants, who are making a strong emphasis on defense. It is in this match that Ufa will play the bus in their penalty area against CSKA.
Features of closed teams matches
Do not think that the designated category of teams in each confrontation puts a “bus”, or even two, near their own penalty area. This happens when meeting the tops, leaders of their championship, and strong middle peasants, if the team itself belongs to the category of weak middle peasants, outsiders of the tournament. When meeting with opponents of equal strength or weaker than ourselves, the emphasis begins to shift towards the attack, you can see combined football without a strong emphasis on defense or attack.
Matches involving highly defensive teams are divided into two categories.
Meeting of two closed teams
This confrontation is distinguished by several points:
- There is a lot of struggle in the center of the field, which leads to a small number of shots towards the goal and on target, the teams take a small number of corners;
- The tactic of minor fouls is actively used, and in general, in such a fight, many yellow cards are not shown: if the game is controlled by a loyal referee, then “mustard plasters” are shown extremely rarely;
- As soon as one of the sides scores a goal, the leading club begins to play strictly according to the score, going even more in defense;
- Poor performance: rarely more than 3 goals are scored in such matches, often a total of 0-2 effective strikes are applied.
In such a situation, it is promising to place a number of bets on statistics: “total less” shots to the side and shots on target, yellow cards – if the analysts of the offices did not greatly underestimate the coefficients for such options. It is convenient to use the combined bet “1X + TM 2.5” or “2X + TM 2.5”, taking into account the current level of the teams. Very often in such confrontations there is a draw, if the potential of the opponents' play is approximately equal, no one is in a game crisis, and the opponents themselves are separated by no more than 3-4 points.
The defending club plays with a strong opponent
An example of this is the above-mentioned match “Ufa – CSKA”, in this confrontation “Ufa” will put up a “bus”, which will lead to the following points:
- The defending club shoots to the side and the opponent's goal several times less, takes corners several times less – the difference is especially noticeable if a closed club plays at a party with a powerfully attacking top, the leader of the championship;
- Big difference in ball possession;
- Often, “total more” of yellow cards breaks through: the defending side, sometimes, with the help of rough fouls, interrupts the sharp attacks of a powerfully attacking opponent, the attacking club constantly has to heavily expose their rear, which is used by the opponent, sharply counterattacking – such an acute counterattack is often stopped by a rough foul;
- Matches of this nature do not always end in low performance, sometimes the leader crushes a closed club, and he, with the help of counterattacks, also inflicts one or more effective strikes.
In such matches, it is worth putting the attacking team on a negative handicap for side shots and shots on target, ball possession, if the favorite is in good shape. This is especially true when the favorite is playing at home.
Betting on “total over” yellow cards will be promising. Many people use “catch-up” for “total more”, for which bookmakers often set a high coefficient.
What to bet on in matches with “buses”?
Separately, it is worth analyzing how to bet on matches where a strong middle peasant plays, using a defensive style of play. It is better to take his home matches under special control.
Strong middle peasant – weak outsider
When a club in a designated category puts more emphasis on defense, all categories of teams face huge problems: a strong middle peasant has a high playing potential and is still defending – it is difficult to break through his defense, because qualified defenders are playing, and you can easily get a sharp and effective counterattack.
When an outsider or a club just struggling to survive comes to visit, the strong, closed middle peasant plays from a tight high defense, which leads to frequent dry, but not big wins.
Sheffield United was mentioned just above, here are the results of their home matches. Here you can see how often outsiders and weak middle peasants are defeated, which allows the prospective use of the combined bet: “1X + TM 3.5 or 2.5” and “W1 + TM 3.5”, the bookmakers in such a confrontation set odds 1.6-1.8 on the latter option.
When a strong club scores a goal, they begin to pay even more attention to defense and the weak team has almost no chance of recouping.
Strong middle peasant – strong middle peasant
In this case, it is promising to put on three options:
- “1X + TM 2.5” or “1X + TM 3.5”;
- TM 2.5;
- X is a draw.
If neither side is in a severe gaming crisis.
Strong middle peasant is one of the championship leaders
Here you should start from the form in which the leader is:
- In excellent shape – “2X + TM 2.5 or 3.5”;
- In bad shape – TM 2.5, and if the bookmakers in such a situation overestimated the top, then you can bet on a positive handicap of the owners.
conclusions
It is precisely the strictly defensive style of play that often makes it possible to very accurately determine the nature of the struggle, and this is already 50% of success in betting. It remains for Bettor to find out the current level of play of the opponents and their motivation.
