Football Betting
In football, the Cups of the countries are not very popular with fans and many bettors, because only at the decisive stages there are matches with a loud poster, and at the stages, starting from the first and up to the semifinals (sometimes even to the final), unknown teams can come across from the lower divisions. In this post, we will present a strategy for betting on football cups, which allows you to bet against a favorite.
Content
- What is the appeal of cup matches?
- What odds are used in cup matches?
- Cup betting strategy
- Important features of the strategy
- Which countries' cups are suitable for strategy?
- Conclusion
What is the appeal of cup matches?
In the Cups, sensations often happen. The giants sometimes play with the second line-up, or do not properly set up for matches with opponents who are obviously inferior in the class. This is especially common in the initial stages, when the country's top clubs are just entering the battle. After all, such teams have the championship and European cups at the forefront, and only then the Cup of the country. Exceptions to this rule are very rare.
Hence, a large number of unexpected results. For small teams from the lower divisions, the meeting with the grand is the match of the year, the spirit and dedication are outrageous. Therefore, sensations or simply unexpected results happen.
What odds are used in cup matches?
An interesting and revealing picture is observed in the Spanish Cup, or rather in the matches of the 1/64 finals. In 6 out of 9 matches, bets were played on a positive handicap, and only in 2 games the advantage of the favorites did not raise any doubts and the far negative handicap was broken: Valladolid and Osasuna won their matches with a score of 5: 0 and 6: 0, respectively. Sevilla beat Ciudad de Lucena 3: 0, but even the odds for a handicap of +3.5 on the underdog were quite good – about 1.4.
But back to 6 matches, where sensations happened or high odds just hit. In 4 of them, the bets were played on the victory of the underdog or a draw, the odds for these outcomes were from 3.76 to 7.21 – very high. The outsider lost in two more matches, but with a minimal difference in the score: Pulpileno and Coria lost their matches with the scores 1: 2 and 2: 3, respectively. In these games, it was possible to bet on the victory of these teams with a handicap of +1.5 for 1.4 and 1.6, respectively.
In total, we see that in 6 out of 9 matches we played very high odds of 3.76-7.21. From this game day, you could earn a very good amount. Let's see how exactly.
Cup betting strategy
Now let's take a look at what you can earn from the day described above in the Spanish Cup. At least 3 options would bring the player a good jackpot. Consider them:
- We bet the system 2 out of 5, 3 out of 6 or even 3 out of 7. We bet on the victory of the underdog or a draw, taking odds of at least 3.5.
As you can see, we managed to win almost 3 times more than the size of the bet from the 2 out of 5 system. And this despite the fact that only 2 matches out of 5 played, if at least 3 bets were won, the final profit would be much more significant; - We bet flat on all matches where there is odds of at least 1.8 for a positive handicap or double chance. We take all matches where there is a great chance of sensation, and bet the same amount on a win or a draw, plus a +1.5 handicap, etc. Starting from a specific playing day of the Spanish Cup on December 15, 2020, it was possible to win 4-5 thousand rubles lightly, if you put 1000 rubles in single bets on all matches to win the underdog or draw;
- We bet on live matches. As a rule, it is enough to observe 25-35 minutes of the match to roughly understand what will happen next. If the clear favorite by these minutes does not lead the score, then the game is not easy, it will be difficult to win. We put a plus handicap of +1.5, or a victory with an outsider's X. If the favorite leads in the score 1: 0 or 2: 0, then we either bypass the matches, or bet on a positive handicap (+2.5) – (+ 4.5), if the odds for such outcomes are attractive. We put single bets on double chances (1X or X2), or we collect less risky express bets, systems 2 out of 3, 2 out of 4 with a positive handicap.
Important features of the strategy
Let's list the points that you should pay attention to when using this strategy:
- We bet most actively on early stage matches (1 / 64-1 / 8 finals);
- We select matches where there are maximum prerequisites for sensation (good previous results of the underdog, at least not the best results of the favorite, as well as his low motivation);
- Superclub matches that are in “fiery” form are best avoided when betting on this strategy. They can smear an opponent with an indecent score. It's another matter when the superfavorite is not doing well, the line-up is not optimal. It is also appropriate to bet on the giants' cup matches in live (after 20-30 minutes of the match, according to the statistics of shots on goal, corner and dangerous attacks, it is clear whether they are determined to smash the opponent or not).
Which countries' cups are suitable for strategy?
As a rule, the Cup of almost any country, which is quoted by bookmakers, is interesting for betting. However, the most interesting are the popular countries (TOP-6 European leagues and the Portuguese Cup), for the following reasons:
- A large amount of statistics: you can find all the results of matches and times, statistics, online broadcasts of matches;
- The cups of the top football countries are widely covered online on statistics websites and in bookmakers: you can see the statistics of matches live: possession, shots, corners, free kicks, dangerous attacks;
- Top clubs from the TOP-6 leagues of Europe are more likely to treat the Cup of the country carelessly, because the main goal of these teams is to win the championship, to perform well in European competitions. And in the Cup of the country, the grand clubs can completely unexpectedly fail, lose to a notorious outsider, or beat him with great difficulty only in extra time or on penalties;
Let us now list the countries whose Cups are the most attractive in terms of betting according to our strategy of betting against the favorite with a positive handicap:
- Spain
- Portugal
- England
- Italy
- Germany
- France
Conclusion
National Cups and League Cups are a goldmine for the bettor. In the early stages of the tournament, sensations are bound to happen, and in considerable quantities.
This is due to the fact that the favorites often refer to the tournament with a hat-handed mood, play with the second line-up, so they may well have big problems with an obviously less classy opponent. You just need to carefully monitor the important points before the match: line-ups, form, motivation. If all this is in favor of the underdog, you can safely bet on his positive handicap.
