For beginners
Bets on all events and outcomes in a row will not lead to long-term success. You need to find your niche and gradually develop in it, and not be scattered over anything.
Novice players make a lot of mistakes, which is quite natural. It is not normal when they are repeated many times, and lessons cannot be learned from failures.
Having figured out what you should not bet on at the beginning of the game in the bookmaker's office, you will be on the right path and reduce the chances of draining the game bank.
We will consider both specific outcomes that beginners cannot bet on, as well as specific situations in which you need to refrain from making a deal.
Content
- The bet is not in line with the strategy
- “Vernyaki”, ZhB
- TOP events
- Not “your” kind of sport
- Suspicious events
- Immediately after losing
- Difficult to predict markets
- Absurd, unpredictable options
- Long express trains, steam locomotives
- Combined outcomes
- Summary
The bet is not in line with the strategy
You must have a plan that cannot be deviated from. A few exceptions a month will not be a tragedy, but if you do not regularly adhere to the chosen strategy and established rules, you will be diffused and will not be able to become successful in any direction.
In addition, the constant deviation from the conditions of the game undermines discipline, which is one of the main elements of profitable bets.
“Vernyaki”, ZhB
Do not bet on favorites, especially at random and for scanty odds. A bet for 1.15 may win, but sooner or later such a quote will not work. You will need 7 bets to just wager the money. You cannot make money in this way for a long time.
Other obvious outcomes with low odds also belong to the so-called surefire and reinforced concrete. For example, the total is over 2.5 in a face-to-face match between teams like Liverpool and Manchester City. The value is significantly underestimated and is often a lure for inexperienced bettors. The option may seem like one hundred percent, but at best, to win right now. At a distance, such transactions will be unprofitable.
Liverpool's victory in 1.3 or 1.8 would be won by few. But when is the odds 1.5? there is a feeling that the outcome will play 100%, and the bookmaker made a mistake.
TOP events
Almost every bookmaker has a TOP-matches block, popular, etc. If events of this kind did not bring profit to companies, they would not actively advertise and promote them.
Avoid TOP fights in TOP tournaments, loud signs, central confrontations of the day. Eliminate the meetings of principal rivals and derbies, as well as matches where you sympathize with one of the clubs. Games like this are interesting, but watch them without placing a bet.
The higher the intrigue, the more difficult it is to predict. The unpredictability is too great. It is important to make informed decisions, and not to play on incomprehensible (for you) events.
Professional gamblers bet on less popular matches, where bookmakers make mistakes more often, because they know that regular bets on heavily loaded odds will drain the deposit.
Not “your” kind of sport
Don't even consider a sports discipline that you don't understand. This also applies to tournaments with teams. You will not have a complete understanding of the subject and knowledge of the specifics of the sport / league / team. This approach is guaranteed to bring a loss.
Start betting on what you know the most about and what interests you. Move in the given direction. Be an expert at something in particular, not a beginner at everything.
See also: betting as it is, the whole truth
Suspicious events
There is no reliable information on the Internet about agreements, and even if it somehow appears, you will not be able to make money. Don't put your account at risk. Bookmakers can easily identify suspicious activity. In the best case, the bet will be calculated as a refund.
You can catch match fixing yourself. If the quote is dropping smoothly over several days, this is normal. When a sharp collapse occurs, it means that a large amount was put on the outcome, and immediately. We advise you to refrain from betting on such a fight if there are no apparent reasons for a sharp change in the line.
Immediately after losing
Bad deals cannot be avoided. You should treat them correctly – understand the reason for the loss and work on the mistakes. The worst thing you can do, especially in live, is to immediately try to recoup.
Emotions and a heightened sense of excitement will prevent you from adequately assessing the situation and making an informed decision. In a hurry, you will bet on anything to comfort yourself with the anticipated role-playing.
Difficult to predict markets
These markets include those that are difficult to analyze.
For example, statistics, goal interval in football, goal sequence, total interval, exact score, total goals time, outcome per minute, exact difference in the score, draw duration, etc.
Absurd, unpredictable options
These markets are not at all amenable to analysis. The choice cannot be backed up by any sound fact.
Examples:
- The sum of the minutes on which the goals are scored – even / odd;
- Odd or even total in basketball;
- Who will start the football match with the ball;
- What will happen first in the fight: strikeout, corner, violation, etc .;
- Will there be a certain number in the bill;
- The corner will be taken from all corners of the field.
The same odd / even, which in some way can be predicted in football and even tennis, in basketball – a frank lottery. The probability of each leverage hit is 50%, but due to the bookmaker's margin, the quote rarely exceeds 1.9. For a profitable game at such values, a throughput of at least 57% is required.
Long express trains, steam locomotives
How nice it is to add selections to the coupon and see the odds increase. True, in addition to quotes, the margin is multiplied, and the risks also increase.
The first step is to learn how to analyze one outcome. Obviously, the probability of predicting one event is higher than simultaneously two, three or more.
Combined outcomes
Double bets are the same express bets, only they are created by the bookmaker himself, combining several conditions into one outcome. Let's say that it is required that the team not only won, but also at least three goals scored in the game (W1 + TB 2.5).
Examples:
- Result + total;
- Result + Both To Score;
- Total + Both To Score;
- Double chance + total.
These markets can be viewed after getting enough experience.
It is better never to approach more risky and unpredictable combined bets, for example, outcome + exact number of goals.
Summary
Set a limit – the maximum number of bets per day. From a variety of matches, you will choose the most suitable ones, forcibly discarding unnecessary ones.
It is important to learn not to bet. When you cannot find a sure outcome in an event that is understandable for you, refuse the deal despite the desire to bet. Develop discipline and self-control. The focus should be on the result, not the process itself. If the action does not bring you closer to the goal and contradicts your strategy, then why is it being done?
See also: TOP Bets for Newbies
Do not get lost between questionable options and do not deviate from the plan. Don't bet on something you don't understand. Choose a specialization, direct all your efforts towards development in a given direction. Full concentration on one thing will surely lead to success someday.