Boxing and MMA Betting
On the second line in the popularity rating of bets after the selection of the winner in MMA and boxing is the total rounds. Sometimes the prediction of the duration of the fight is not only a good alternative to the traditional outcomes of W1 or W2, but also the safest option, when, for example, it is not possible to choose an obvious and, accordingly, reliable favorite.
To understand how long the fight will take, you need to understand the calculation of TB and TM values, as well as the features of the analysis of the probable duration of the battle – this is what we will talk about in this material.
Content
- What is Total Rounds?
- How is the total of rounds calculated?
- Calculating the potential duration of a fight
- In mixed martial arts
- In boxing
- Conclusion
What is Total Rounds?
In many common sports there is a time limit, which in turn is subdivided into segments – halves, periods, or rounds as in mixed martial arts and boxing. Previously, there were no such limits, which is why in the first case the longest fight of Helio Gracie vs. Valdemar Santana lasted 220 minutes, while in the second the record was kept by athletes Andy Bowen and Jack Burke, who spent 439 minutes in the ring.
How is the total of rounds calculated?
In mixed martial arts, depending on the promotion for fights, there may be different regulations, but the common option is 3 or 5 rounds of five minutes.
When calculating for the total in this case, regardless of whether it is less (TM) or more (TB), half a round is taken in time or 2 minutes 30 seconds, respectively. That is, a bet on TM 0.5 means that the fight will end before 2:30 of the first round, and TB 0.5 – at least one second later. Because the exact time is taken into account, there is a return option that occurs if the fight ends at 2:30. More details:
- TM or TB 0.5 – earlier or later than 2:30 of the first round;
- TM or TB 1.5 – earlier or later than 2:30 of the second round;
- TM or TB 2.5 – earlier or later than 2:30 of the third round;
- TM or TB 3.5 – earlier or later than 2:30 of the fourth round;
- TM or TB 4.5 – earlier or later than 2:30 of the fifth round.
In boxing, the situation is somewhat different, since regardless of the tournament regulations, there are more rounds, their duration is less and is 3 minutes, and the half-division can be present or absent, and sometimes only in one case – when betting on the line or in live. We will tell you about all the features.
As a rule, when calculating a deal for the total of rounds in boxing, the concept of “half” is not used. That is, bets on TB 6.5 or TB 7.5 will win when the seventh or eighth round ends, and such outcomes as TM 6.5 and TM 7.5 will replenish the bettor's balance if the confrontation does not drag on for more than six or seven rounds.
Some bookmakers practice the principle of calculation, which has developed in mixed martial arts – half the time of the round is taken into account. In examples, it works like this:
- TM or TB 8.5 – earlier or later than 1:30 of the ninth round;
- TM or TB 9.5 – earlier or later than 1:30 of the tenth round;
- TM or TB 10.5 – earlier or later than 1:30 of the eleventh round.
Occurs when these calculations are combined – the bet on the total made on the line will be calculated taking into account the fully completed rounds, while the principle of “half” applies to the selected TM or TB in LIVE mode.
It is also worth paying attention to the fact that any total will play less regardless of the type of stop: KO / TKO, refusal of the team or the athlete directly to continue the fight, disqualification. If at the beginning of the next round the boxer, for one reason or another, could not enter the ring, then the fight is considered completed in the previous round.
The main mistake that is observed is ignorance of the format of the match, which can include not only 10-12, but also 6 or 8 rounds, as well as the rules for calculating a particular bookmaker's betting on total.
Before betting, it is necessary to accurately determine the schedule of the meeting, familiarize yourself with the provisions of the bookmaker or, if necessary, consult with support, and only then analyze its potential duration
Calculating the potential duration of a fight
After you have figured out how totals work, you can start betting on such outcomes. To choose the most likely option, you need to conduct an analysis of the fight, which will show what the chances are that it will end earlier or later than the time period suggested by the bookmaker.
In mixed martial arts
The principle of considering MMA fights for totals is based on several pillars, of which there are several more than in boxing, but the main ones remain the same. The main difference is that on the canvas, each athlete, in one way or another, is familiar with different martial arts. The factors that deserve attention in the analysis are as follows.
Combat style
Some athletes prefer to disassemble opponents at a distance, use the so-called “bicycle” or act as a “blanket”, which is why in their fights there is a high probability of breaking the total, as it was in the confrontation of Deron Wynn against Darren Stewart. The opposite situation is with knockouts and representatives of the jitters school, who like to finish vis-a-vis.
Photo source: ru.ufc.com
Class difference
From time to time, inexperienced fighters go up against established athletes, who, accordingly, are the favorites. In this case, there is a possibility that an athlete who does not have a lot of skills will lose ahead of time or, if he defends well, he will show himself well in the role of an underdog, bringing the fight to the decision of the arbiters.
Gaps in a specific plane
Many fighters have their own problems, for example, they were knocked out several times or they do not defend well against the attacks of grappling masters on the ground. They usually fail for these reasons. An ideal example is the defeat of Andrei Orlovsky, who was repeatedly knocked out by the knockout Jairzinho Rosenstruyk. If the opponents have nothing to cover the weaknesses of each other, then the chance of passing the total increases.
Photo source: ru.ufc.com
Preparation, weight race, age
All these factors can be combined into one – the state. Substitutes who have difficulties with weight reduction and older fighters cannot always go to a duel in optimal condition, which increases the chance of them losing the previously allotted time and vice versa, respectively.
Personal animosity
If the fighters openly hate each other and this is not part of the contract for the promotion of the fight, then we should expect that in a face-to-face meeting they will reveal their entire arsenal and try to finish the opponent as soon as possible.
In boxing
All of the above points regarding MMA remain relevant in this case, in addition to one – the first, since there is no such variety and mixing of martial arts, and everything is tied up in boxing, which boxers use in different styles. The highest probability of knockout is in fights with outfighters and punchers (especially in weight 79 kg and above), while the chance of breaking through TB is higher in the case of spoilers, sluggers and infighters.
Nevertheless, many boxers, especially experienced ones, prefer not to get attached to a specific manner of fighting and are able to work in different styles, which is why you need to pay attention to such moments.
Duration of last battles
Extreme fights are able to tell both about the form and the current stylistic preferences of a particular boxer. In the case of Billy Joe “SuperB” Saunders, it's easy to see that while he has a lot of knockout wins, his fights often end in decisions or in the later rounds.
Changing odds in a line
As a rule, this applies to ordinary fights, which do not attract much attention and, accordingly, are considered by a small number of bettors. It is possible to play against the total loaded in this case, but it is not recommended, as bettors, as a rule, bet on them, are experienced and familiar with the intricacies of analysis, as well as the nuances of the chosen fight.
Conclusion
If you are in doubt about who will take the fight to his asset or the odds for the favorite are small, and the underdog does not deserve attention, then playing its duration is the best option. The outcomes on totals are not inferior to bets on the winner, but they also require careful analysis, which, we hope, will no longer be a problem for you after reading the material.
