Football Betting
Football is constantly evolving, which means that it is necessary to improve the approach to betting in order to continue to make money on bets.
Today we will look at how a game with three center-backs affects the number of offside positions for the opponent and whether there will be a benefit from regularity when betting.
In recent seasons, there have been more and more triple center-back setups such as 3-5-2 or 3-4-3. This tactic makes it difficult to create an offside position.
If we take the data from the five strongest European leagues, then among the first 15 clubs whose rivals have the least number of offside positions, 10 teams play with three central defenders.
This means that it is necessary to bet on the total fewer offside positions in the fights of such teams – both on the total (the whole match) and individual (the opposing teams).
In a scheme with three defenders, one of them is located in the back and cleans up behind the partners, playing mainly on clean balls. Due to the fact that the last player is closer to the goal than partners, the opponent is less likely to be caught offside.
In a 3-5-2 or 3-4-3 formation, the flanking players sit in line with three defenders. In order to organize an offside position, there must be a perfect rapport.
The mentioned tactical schemes already know how to pass. Their disadvantage is the half-flanks of protection. The enemy attacks through them, and here it is more difficult to do an offside position than in the center.
By the way, it is for this reason that it is better to bet on the individual total less, since teams with three center-backs themselves can often find themselves out of the game.
Let's consider a simple example, although you probably already understood the essence of the technique.
Let's open statistics on offside positions, for example, of the Italian championship. You can do this on the website 24score.pro, where there is a lot of information, including a chess board with accurate offside scores.
Photo source: 24score.pro
In Serie A, the leaders in terms of the least number of offside positions among opponents are Inter and Udinese (a little less than 1 on average), as well as Lazio (about 1.3).
Next, you need to analyze the sporting event, and not rely solely on past performance. An additional factor in favor of making a bet is the situation when the team, for which the individual total is selected less, will defend. As, for example, SPAL in the match with Inter.
Not only do Inter's rivals rarely find themselves in an offside position, but also SPAL is much weaker and spent most of the time in defense. If a team is at their own goal, the likelihood of being out of the game is lower. Actually, this is what happened.
It is these events that are ideal for betting on individual offsides total less on the opposing team, which uses a system with three center backs.
If you look at the last round of the Italian championship at the time of the creation of the material (34th), then the bet would have played in the fights of all three clubs that were mentioned earlier:
- Juventus – Lazio (offside score – 1: 1);
- Roma – Inter (0: 4);
- Napoli – Udinese (0: 4).
It is clear that it will be possible to judge the effectiveness of the technique only after long-term testing, but you can safely allocate a few percent of the game bank to check the trend. You just need to find suitable matches and find the corresponding outcomes in bookmakers.
You can place a bet on an offside position, including in live, in many legal bookmakers in Russia: Betcity, 1xStavka, Parimatch and others.
