Betting on total over – optimal teams and matches for betting
In modern football, it is not easy without preparation to guess the total of matches and make winning bets, beating the bookmaker at a distance. However, if you look closely, you can find interesting patterns in various championships. Many national leagues are well read, teams play predictably in total. Having analyzed the TOP of the strongest leagues in Europe, we found a number of teams, the total of matches and the individual total of which are well read. We will tell in today's article about the best teams for betting on TB matches and ITB (individual total is greater).
- Manchester city
In the Bundesliga, Bayern Munich have been showing their best side for several seasons in a row. The squad has been slipping a little for a couple of seasons in a row in the first half of the season, and simply sweeps away everyone in its path in half of the second, often trashing its rivals, scoring 4-6 goals per match quite often.
As for the total, TB 3.5 is not uncommon in the matches of Bayern, the odds for such a market in the matches of the Munich players vary in the range of 1.6-4, depending on the strength of the opponent. Betting on TB 3.0 or 3.5 in Bayern matches is best in the second half of the season, when the team accelerates.
The optimal matches for betting on TB are games with opponents who have defensive problems and do not build a solid defense against Bayern: Hoffenheim, Borussia Dortmund, Wolfsburg, Bayer, as well as many outsiders conceding.
In the English Premier League for several seasons in a row, Manchester City have shown themselves excellently. Not only does the team score under 100 goals per season (or even over 100), but also in defense, as a rule, it is very good, which allows the “townspeople” to often win confident victories in the match. In Man City games it is appropriate to bet on TB matches, on individual total more than a club from Manchester.
We recommend betting on TB 3.0 in the home games of “townspeople” against opponents who play themselves and let their rivals do it. Also relevant are bets on Manchester City's ITB 2.0-2.5 in matches against the most frequently conceded opponents (as a rule, these are teams fighting for survival in the Premier League).
The team also plays effectively in other tournaments in which it takes part: Champions League, English Cups. Similar bets on TB 3.0 and ITB 2.0 are appropriate in these tournaments as well.
In the Austrian Bundesliga, Salzburg has no equal for several seasons in a row. The hegemony of the club in the domestic arena lasts from the 2013/2014 season and does not stop to this day. The team often crushes its rivals in the Austrian championship with an indecent score, it can easily score 4-8 goals.
Also, the team is very worthy of representing the far from the strongest Austrian championship in European competitions: it plays on equal terms with teams from the TOP-5, plays very well in the group stage of the Champions League.
In Salzburg's matches, you can check long-distance totals: TB 4.5-5.5 and above, Salzburg's individual total is more than 2.5-3.5. Most often, such totals take place, not surprisingly, in away matches, when opponents go on the attack a little more courageously and open up more, in games against many passing outsiders. Very productive games are also played by Salzburg in erovcuts, again in games with teams from TB leagues (England, Spain, Belgium, Holland, Germany).
One of the teams that consistently, from season to season, pleases with matches through TB is Barcelona. During the supertrio Neymar – Messi – Suarez, the team scored 100-120 goals per season. In recent years, the team has not exceeded 100 goals in the championship season, but all the same, the championships turn out to be very big: 3.3-4.0 goals per game on average for 10 years.
The performance of Barça and its matches falls a little when it plays with grassroots teams promoting the “bus”: Atletico, Athletic, etc. In recent years, El Clásico and Real Madrid have also become increasingly grassroots. In other matches, the Catalans can throw a full string bag of goals to anyone, in the mood and in the optimal composition. Before betting on a Barcelona match, you need to make sure of the following:
- The team is in good shape and on the move;
- The composition is optimal, in the ranks of Messi and Suarez
- The squad is playing against a team that has problems playing defensively;
- Barcelona's motivation for the match is high (not the beginning and not the end of the season, tournament problems are being solved).
If all these conditions are met, then the chance that TB will be broken is very high.
The Parisians, since the 2012/2013 season, have reigned almost completely on the throne of Ligue 1. The team did not win the championship only once, losing the palm to AS Monaco. Moreover, victories in the French championship are often with a great advantage over rivals. As the players themselves say, in League one it is sometimes enough for them only 45 minutes to solve all the issues in the match, the second half of the game can be played half-heartedly.
PSG are especially strong at home, where they can score 3-5 goals to anyone. In the games of the Parisians, it is more appropriate to bet more on their individual total than on the TB of the match: the team concedes quite a bit. Therefore, we check PSG's ITB 2-2.5 at home games in Ligue 1 in matches with opponents who play more or less attacking football, do not go into the defensive: Lyon, Rennes, Marseille, Nice, Monaco ”As well as outsiders who always miss a lot.
Not the most formidable in terms of composition and budget, Atalanta from Bergamo has been demonstrating something incredible for several seasons in a row. The team strikes goals in any match without fear and embarrassment, it is not a problem for Atalanta to load 7 balls into the opponent's goal of Serie A level, while missing a couple of scoring holes in response.
Bergamasks are showing a little crazy football, singing a hymn to the attack. Even in games with teams equal to itself, Atalanta does not close. Staying true to their style of play, the team plays from the attack: scores and concedes a lot. The perfect team for TB betting.
We recommend betting on TB 3.0 and higher in Atalanta's matches against attacking teams and having defensive problems.
From the 2011/2012 season onwards, Celtic Glasgow has consistently become the Champion of Scotland. Moreover, most often the team is ahead of the closest pursuer by an immodest 15-20 points and even more. Celtic are losing very few points in the league, most often scoring more than 2.0 goals per match in the local Premier League, conceding a little (0.4-0.7 goals per match on average).
Accordingly, we recommend bets on individual total over 1.5-2.5 Celtic. Betting on TB matches is a little more risky because The Celts are very few and rarely conceded in the Scottish Premier League, but TB 2.5 in the games of this squad also makes their way confidently.
For several seasons in a row in the Ukrainian league, Donetsk Shakhtar don’t give up the championship to anyone, and every year the team's advantage over the second place is becoming more and more. The club from Donetsk scores a lot (more than 2 goals per game on average for several seasons in a row), the result is mainly made by Brazilian legionnaires. When the team has not yet secured the championship, it plays at full strength and scores a lot. In the period between the start of the season and the moment when Shakhtar draws the championship, we suggest betting on ITB 2.0-2.5 Shakhtar and TB 2.5-3.0 matches.
In this collection, we tried to collect the most interesting features of the most popular European championships and the teams that play in them. Knowing them and keeping them in mind, it is easier to find profitable bets, valuable odds, you can more confidently bet under long totals and handicaps, knowing that the team is capable of playing very powerfully.