For the first time, the World Basketball Championship will be held in more than one year with the football world championship, it was postponed to 2019 and will be held in China. The number of participants has also increased, now not 24 national teams will take part in the final tournament, but 32, which further increases the interest in the competition itself. In 2010 and 2014, the US team became the champion.
As part of this review, we have to carefully analyze all the features of the final stage of the World Cup and how, based on their knowledge, to make successful bets on the tournament.
- Tournament regulations
- World Championship Betting
- Negative handicap tops
- Playing on the side of the hostess of the tournament
- Against the middle peasants
- Playoff Betting
- Russian team
- Team USA
- Summing up
32 teams will be divided into 8 groups, where each will play once against each other. Next come the two best teams of the quartet. The remaining 16 teams will be divided into 4 groups, where they will have to play against each other once. The first two teams in the group advance to the quarterfinals, semi-finals and finals. 92 matches will be played over 16 days. This tournament is a real treasure for betting.
The format of the tournament has changed a bit, before there were 24 teams, they were divided into 4 groups of 6 teams, where everyone opposed each other once and then the 4 best teams advanced from the group to the 1/8 finals.
This change in the format of the tournament will also affect the tactics of betting, because an increase in the number of participants from 24 to 32 leads to the following two things:
- The increase in the difference in the level of play between top teams and outsiders;
- There will be more unexpected results.
The USA national team is the favorite of recent years, it has no equal among all the participants of the tournament. It is worth noting that, as in football, the TOP-10 mainly includes European national teams.
This image shows that there were 6 European teams in the 2010 World Cup quarterfinals. Now it is curious to look at the state of affairs in the 2014 World Cup.
There is a slight feeling of déjà vu. The national teams of the USA, Spain, Serbia, Lithuania, France and to this day are world heavyweights, which should be taken into account in the upcoming tournament.
World Championship Betting
When playing on bets, it is worth highlighting the group stage and the playoffs separately, because each of them has its own rules.
Negative handicap tops
The change in the format led to one curious detail, if earlier during the group stage, when it was necessary to play 5 matches, it was possible to make 1-2 misfires, and then make up for lost time, now there is practically no room for error. This means that the tops will carefully approach their fights, which will lead to the defeat of weak opponents. This allows you to safely play on negative top handicaps.
This is a good example, the tops do not spare outsiders, they smash those in full.
This is especially true of the first two rounds of the group stage.
All these examples make it clear that the system can play on the negative handicaps of the tops, when they meet with frankly weak opponents.
Playing on the side of the hostess of the tournament
On the basis of overwhelming motivation, the owners really achieve high results.
In 2010, the tournament was held in Turkey – the Turkish national team reached the final. But the Turks are among the strong middle peasants, but the overwhelming motivation brought the national team to the final, where the hosts of the tournament lost to the US team, there are no options here.
The 2014 World Championship was held in Spain.
The Spaniards played brilliantly in the group stage, never losing. They managed to make it to the quarterfinals, where they lost to the French.
Now the tournament will be held in China. But the national team of this country is an ordinary middle peasant and it is difficult for it to compete with the top.
The Chinese team in the 2017 Asian Cup took 5th place. For the Asian region, this is a good result, but only if it were not one of the weakest in the world ranking. And if here the national team takes 5th place, then this speaks of its not the highest level.
Even to strong rivals in their region, the Chinese are losing almost permanently. This means that bookmakers will bet inflated odds on the victory of the Chinese team in their fight against the top and strong middle peasants. It is better to ignore the fights with the tops, but in the matches with the strong middle peasants it is worth putting the Chinese team on a positive head start.
Against the middle peasants
The World Championship attracts the attention of millions of bettors. Sometimes a situation arises when the overwhelming majority of users bet on a seemingly obvious option, heavily loading it. And often the outcome chosen by many is loaded so that you can safely bet on the opposite option.
The finals and semi-finals live their own lives, and here it is not so easy to find any regularity. But as for the 1/8 finals and the quarterfinals, there is one curious moment here: bookmakers often reinsure themselves and greatly underestimate the odds for an obvious variation, a major victory of the clear favorite. Then this obvious option is still well loaded by many bettors, and in such a situation it would be better to put an outsider on a positive handicap.
It would seem that in the 1/8 finals of the 2014 World Cup, the Spanish national team beat the Senegal national team with a difference of 33 points. Only on F2 (+35) they gave 1.80-1.85. It is a completely playable variation, and in the end it won. In this match, the bookmakers greatly underestimated the negative handicap of the Spaniards, the bettors overloaded it well, which made it possible to play on the side of the outsider. And there are plenty of such situations in the playoffs.
In 2010, the Russian national team pleased their fans with a presence at the world tournament, the national team of the largest country managed to break into the playoffs from second place. Having successfully passed New Zealand to the 1/8 finals, the Russians got to the US national team and lost to it in a bitter struggle.
At the 2014 World Cup, the Russians could not get there. But at the 2019 World Cup, the Russian national team is obliged to go out. The review is written a few days before the two most important qualifying matches, where you need to win at least one Victoria to get a ticket to China.
There is no doubt about a trip to China.
The Russian national team has one striking feature – powerful fighting qualities. When meeting with the favorites of the tournament, bookmakers put very high odds on the victory of the Russian national team, which allows them to successfully play on its positive handicap. When meeting with approximately equal rivals, everything depends on the odds set by analysts, if the odds for the victory of the Russians are also overestimated, you can again safely play on their side.
The powerful play of the Americans and two championships in the two extreme final tournaments of the world championship led to the most delicious situation for professional bettors:
- Bookmakers underestimate the odds for a large negative head start for the US team too much;
- Millions of young bettors are actively downloading this very low coefficient.
All this creates such a strong bias in the sports line for matches with the US national team, which allows you to successfully play using the following tactics:
- As mentioned above, when meeting with frankly weak rivals, even in this situation, you can bet on a large negative head start;
- When meeting with strong middle peasants, it is worth betting on their positive head start, for some reason many believe that the US team will always and everywhere crush both weak and strong opponents, this is far from the case
But this tactic applies to group stage matches. The exception is the playoffs. Here the Americans are very concentrated and play at the limit of their capabilities, which does not bode well even for strong middle peasants and top national teams.
For world championships, each sport has its own common features, but do not forget that each individual World Championship taken has its own individual features. Therefore, it is worthwhile to closely monitor the current tournament, monitor these individual characteristics and, taking them into account, amend the tactics of your actions.