For the reason that basketball is the most productive sport, “total” is very popular among bettors when playing in offices at basketball matches. The “individual total” bet in basketball is especially popular among experienced users who can independently calculate how many points a certain team will score in a selected match. If their calculations differ greatly from the analysts of the bookmakers, they carefully recalculate everything again and as soon as they see that they are right, they make a bet with a high probability of winning.
Below, it is necessary to find out how to calculate the individual total in basketball, what actions to perform on the basis of such calculations in the future.
- What is Individual Total (IT)?
- How to calculate IT?
- Live bets on individual total
- Summing up
What is Individual Total (IT)?
The total match total is the sum of the points scored by both teams. Individual total (IT, ind. Total) is the sum of points scored by one team.
This is how this type of bet is designated in Betcity. If you put on “IT1 (111.5) Men.” with odds of 1.98, then the bet will win if the hosts score 111 points or less.
Play Ind. the total of teams can be separately in each quarter or separately in each half of the meeting.
And if the game on IT before the start of the match in the 1st quarter or 1st half is promising, in other cases, success is based on a large percentage of luck, here it is better to bet online.
How to calculate IT?
Experienced bettors have a general principle for carrying out this calculation, there is nothing complicated here:
- Calculate the average performance of the team for the last 5-6 matches (if the team plays at home, then experienced players are advised to separately calculate the average performance of the last 5-6 home matches, when playing away, the opposite is true);
- Three points are added for each home meeting;
- For each victoria we add one point and subtract 1.5 points in case of defeat.
Let's make calculations based on a specific example.
Let's calculate IT “Toronto”:
For one home victory, he adds 3 points, becomes 114, for four victories won, we add 4 more points = 118, and subtract 1.5 points for one defeat. The result is 116.5.
But these options were offered by the analysts of the bookmakers, setting an approximately equal coefficient at 118.5, and we got 116.5. This is not a big difference and it is better to bypass this fight. Now, if the bookmaker had set approximately equal odds on IT “Toronto”, for example, 110.5, then it would have been possible to bet on ITB (1) 110.5, and at 121.5, on ITM (1) 121.5. A difference of 5 points or more is a significant difference. But in this case, the example was taken from the NBA, where the analysts of the bookmakers set the total options and the odds for them as accurately as possible, as we have seen on a specific example. And if there are strong discrepancies, it is worth looking for the reason. And there can be many such reasons:
- Injury of one or more successful team players, this leads to a decrease in performance;
- Prior to that, the club played with five not the strongest rivals, which was the reason for the high performance, but in the upcoming fight one of the heavyweights of the tournament got into the rivals;
- An important match is ahead, the coach is giving some of the main players a rest, etc.
Large discrepancies in the calculations between a professional bettor and bookmakers can often be observed in the framework of poorly popular championships. As a rule, one analyst is appointed for one such tournament and he does not always correctly set the line for the match, sometimes just taking the latest team performance, without taking into account injuries, motivation and other important conditions. But a professional bettor, for several seasons in a row, carefully studying one of such poorly popular championships, being well versed in all the small details, taking them into account in the analysis, will immediately see a strong discrepancy and make a good bet.
But a number of experienced players do not make pre-match bets, but play live.
Live bets on individual total
Before the meeting starts, exactly the same calculations are made.
This is one of the NBA Sacramento Kings – Phoenix Suns matches. Let's calculate the performance of Phoenix based on the last 5 matches:
(124 + 112 + 110 + 88 +107) = 541/5 = 108 + 9 points in 3 home matches = 117 -7.5 in 5 losses = 109.5
The score after the first half of the meeting was 63:44.
During the first half of the meeting, the guests scored only 44 points, while their average performance is 109.5, this is a strong discrepancy, before the end of the match, Phoenix must conditionally gain 65.5 points to its average performance. All this made it possible to bet on ITB (2). You could safely bet that in the second half the guests would score more than in the first two quarters, the bookmakers in this match put up convenient odds. And as you can see, for the second half the guests have already scored 60 points and fell a little short of their average performance.
The game in live mode was built on a strong deviation from the average performance, if Phoenix scored not 44 points in the first half, but 55 points, then there was no point in playing, this is a normal indicator and the bookmaker would have set an inconvenient coefficient. If Phoenix suddenly scored 64 points, then we could safely bet on ITM (2), this is already a strong departure from the average, while in a big way.
It will not be superfluous to look at how the teams play in the 1st and 2nd halves, there are clubs that do not perform in the best way in the first two quarters, but then powerfully add in the rest of the match.
There are three pillars at the heart of a successful game on individual totals: mathematical calculations, thorough knowledge of the state of affairs in clubs and the mistake of bookmakers. As soon as the three whales come together, the probability of winning will go wild.