Sometimes, in some sports between women's and men's tournaments, there is a whole gap, which forces bettors to develop separate strategies. All this also applies to basketball: a different approach to the work performed, the increased responsibility and conscientiousness of women in front of the set goal, distinguish women's competitions from men's. It remains to be seen what the difference is and how to use it in basketball betting.
- Features of women's basketball
- International tournaments
- National team matches
- Club competitions
- Russian championship
- In which bookmakers to bet?
- Summing up
Features of women's basketball
When developing a strategy and tactics for the game, the following factors should be taken into account:
- Women's basketball is less effective;
- In many championships, there is a crazy difference between leaders and outsiders, which is associated with a noticeable shortage of strong performers, sometimes the reason for this is the weak economies of some countries;
- A more responsible approach to home fights, which leads to frequent home routines by the favorites of the outsiders, and when an outsider accepts one of the leaders on the home court, his plus handicap often passes;
- Men, leading the score, can relax a lot in the last quarter, which women rarely allow themselves, this should be taken into account when concluding a live bet.
At the heart of many successful theories is the increased responsibility of women to the trust of their business – to play basketball and achieve maximum results.
All these features are good when one of the complete outsiders comes to visit one of the leaders: all this allows you to successfully play on the negative handicap of the home leader. And although bookmakers often insure themselves with large negative odds on the owners in such a situation, this does not often save them from losing.
There are enough international competitions among national teams and clubs, and here it is necessary to highlight some features.
National team matches
In women's basketball, there is not such a terrible difference in the level of play between the clear favorites and the complete outsiders within the national teams. But the analysts of the offices, obviously under the influence of men's competitions, where there is such a difference, often set overestimated coefficients for the victory of outright favorites, which makes it possible to prospectively bet on the positive handicaps of outsiders, playing with the system.
The Spanish women's national team is one of the top national teams in Europe, but in the final stage of the 2017 World Cup, when the Spaniards became champions, they allowed experienced bettors to successfully bet on the positive handicaps of weaker teams, as happened in the presented case, when F1 ( +15.5) gave 1.9-2.
And here the Spaniards completely lost to the outsider due to weak motivation.
When two middle peasants meet two in a full-time game, the total “total over” is often broken through. This does not happen out of nowhere: approximately equal in strength rivals give out an overly intense duel, trying not to miss each other far on the points scored. And this rhythm of the game allows you to bet against the opinion of the bookmakers. For some reason, within the framework of international competitions of national teams, the analysts of the offices follow the general weak performance of women's basketball and set low totals. At the final stage of the competition, such a total in the face-to-face wrestling of the middle peasants often “breaks through”.
You can find out more about the specifics of betting on women's football in a separate review.
If there is an outright favorite in the final and in the match for 3rd place, it makes sense to bet on his negative handicap, it is not so often that a complete outsider of such matches beats a clear leader or puts up worthy resistance to it. The favorite prepares for such fights in the most careful way, which eliminates underestimation of the opponent and, due to the difference in class, outplayes him.
In matches of this category, it is worth paying attention to meetings where the implicit favorite accepts an incomplete outsider: when the odds of 1.6-1.7 are given to the home favorite's victory. In such a situation, bookmakers set odds higher than 2 for a small negative handicap of the favorite. All this makes it possible to successfully play on such a negative handicap of an implicit favorite if three conditions are met regarding this very leader of the fight:
- He is in good shape;
- Has a high motivation to play, a good microclimate within the team;
- There is no strong load on the leader's victory, and if there is a decrease in the coefficient, then it is not very large.
In such conditions, the implicit favorite often outplay the opponent with a difference of 7 points, when the bookmaker gives a good odds on H1 (-3.5).
In this match at F1 (-2.5) they gave 1.85.
It is risky to bet on big negative handicaps of home favorites and can lead to a loss at a distance. It is difficult to predict when the clear leader of the meeting will be able to win a major victory and break through his negative head start.
All the above described features of women's basketball fully apply to the Russian championship, where it is worth paying attention to how one of the championship leaders performs on the home court.
Here you can safely play “catch-up” on a large negative leader's handicap by a large coefficient, and this “catch-up” will rarely exceed two steps. The only defeat that Yekaterinburg suffered on March 1, 2019 was received from the 2nd team of the championship, from an absolutely equal and powerfully motivated opponent.
There are also peculiarities in betting on female MMA, you can find out about them in a separate article.
Playing on large negative handicaps of the clear leader of the championship “catch-up”, when he takes on the league's outsiders at home, is a promising strategy in many championships.
In the Russian women's championship, when two middle peasants meet, the “total over” set by the bookmakers often breaks through in their full-time game.
In which bookmakers to bet?
For many users, when playing women's basketball, the main thing is that the bookmaker offers:
- Attractive painting for basketball tournaments;
- High winning limits;
- Convenient live-line with a high rate of accepting a bet, because it is in basketball that success depends on how quickly the bettor in a promising situation will have time to make a bet;
- Low margin.
Such conditions can be offered by a number of good bookmakers:
For clarity, let's calculate the margin in BC Betcity for one of the NBA matches, “Orlando – New Orleans”.
The bookmaker set odds for the home win in regulation time to 1.42, and 2.87 for the guests not to lose:
The margin was 5.2%, which is a rather low indicator for basketball.
Having chosen a bookmaker that is convenient and profitable for yourself, taking into account a number of peculiarities of women's basketball, you can raise your game bank quite well at a distance.