Betting on statistical indicators is gaining high popularity in the most popular sports among bettors: football, tennis, hockey and basketball. Not so long ago, users were very wary of such types of bets, but gradually a number of experienced bettors have developed appropriate game tactics that allow them to outplay bookmakers at a distance in this direction as well.
Nowadays, for each athlete, a careful calculation of statistical indicators is carried out, the knowledge of which, taking into account some factors, makes it possible to make a good bet. Let's take a look at several ways.
- How to bet on shots?
- Statistics betting
- Block shots
- Summing up
How to bet on shots?
One of the most popular bets in basketball is the total of points scored by a particular player.
This type of betting in BC Winline, where for every good attacking player of the opposing teams, several options are offered at once. This is really convenient, since in many offices the user is simply offered to place a bet on one option, as in Betcity bookmaker.
But, at the same time, the strong point of Betcity is the ability to bet on a kind of confrontation between players from different teams. Each athlete has his own “zest”, they should be memorized, because it is here that the weakest points of the offices are hidden.
Read about how to place bets on players in Winline in a separate article.
If in the course of the analysis the bettor decided that Kyrie Irving can score from 29 or more points, then it is easier for him to bet in Winline at a coefficient of 2.35 than in Betcity to bet on “total over 23.5” for 1.9.
If during the analysis the user realized that Irving would clearly outplay Boyan Bogdanovich in their virtual duel, then his path lies in Betcity.
That is why we always focus on the fact that it makes sense to register with several large bookmakers at once in order to use all the opportunities for betting.
It is best to place bets on players when several conditions are met at the same time:
- The team is in good shape and showing strong results;
- The player himself is in good shape and mood: for this you should carefully study him by expressing on various news portals, the situation in the family, etc.;
- Overwhelming motivation of the team to win, especially when the opponents are not the most difficult opponents;
- Bookmakers underestimated the player.
A vivid example can be cited. In the NBA, one of the best players in the 2018-2019 season is James Harden of the Houston Rockets.
Houston is one of the leaders of the Western Conference. But in one of their home matches, Houston lost to the leader of the conference.
And two days later, Houston played host to one of the complete outsiders – Phoenix Suns. The score of that meeting was 108: 102, where the team leader, James Harden, immediately scored 41 points.
All the above conditions met here, which made it possible to make a bet with the highest probability of winning, where it was possible to bet on the “total more” of the points scored by Harden. It is clear that not always in the cases described above, the bet will go, but at a distance the bettor will clearly come out in a good plus.
For three-point shots, the situation is exactly the same. It is necessary to select players who often throw such throws and wait for the onset of the above conditions. You can also play counter-move:
- The club is in a gaming crisis
- The basketball player's level of play, with a high percentage of 3-point shots, has fallen heavily, poor psychological state
- Meeting a strong rival
Here you can also bet on “total less”.
Many bookmakers offer to bet on players according to many statistical indicators. For this reason, a thorough study of the current statistics of basketball players comes to the fore. And this work is divided into three stages.
1) Study the players' performance for the current season as a whole. Having chosen several players for yourself, you should determine their current form, for which it is necessary to study the statistics for the last 5-6 matches;
2) At the end of the meeting, you can find detailed information for each player. If it can be seen that the current indicators are slightly higher than the average in the current season, then this indicates a good form of the chosen basketball player;
3) The third stage is the study of the opponent, his strengths and weaknesses.
After all this, you need to carefully study the odds set by the bookmaker in search of distortions, mistakes of bookmaker analysts, which allows you to make a promising bet at a good odds.
Let's analyze each component of the statistics in more detail.
Here it is worth paying attention to a player like Kyrie Irving. BC Vinline offers to put 6.5 assists of this basketball player from Boston on “TB / TM”. But why did the bookmaker decide to make a section exactly at 6.5? The analysts' logic is simple.
Irving averages 6.9 assists per game. In the last meeting, this player made 6 assists.
And before this meeting, Irving made 6 assists.
Considering that the player made 6 assists in the last matches, and on average for the current season he makes 6.9 assists, the analysts decided to make a section on “total under” and “total over” at 6.5. This is not the most convenient section for bettors. But Betcity offers a more convenient line on Irving, making a section on the 7.5 number, where you can try to place a bet on “TM 7.5” at the odds of 1.93.
Experienced bettors advise using the following tactics: wait for a player to exceed his average for the season in several matches in a row, which leads to an increase in the odds by “total over” and immediately bet in the opposite direction.
How does it look in reality? We know Irving has a 6.9 pass average. It is worth waiting for him to make 8 assists in two meetings, which will immediately lead to the fact that the bookmaker will offer to bet on “TB / TM” 8.5 in the next match. In such a situation, you should bet on “TM 8.5”, which is much higher than the current average.
And this tactic can be used within the rest of the statistics.
The principle of building a line by the bookmaker is exactly the same here, you need to carefully study all the current statistical indicators and place a bet on a convenient line or against a strong excess of the player's average, as discussed above.
Not every bookmaker offers this type of bet. For example, in BC Betcity you won't be able to place a bet on the total of interceptions, but in Vinline it is possible to do it.
A slightly different approach is used here. Even the “coolest” basketball players make 2 interceptions per game on average. In this case, you should pay attention to such a type of bet as “the player will make for a meeting from one interception and more.” The bookmaker does not give the highest coefficient for this, but in this case, you should use the “Ladder” strategy.
Bettors use one trick: they choose 5-6 basketball players who make the most interceptions on average, wait until one of them has made a single interception during the whole game and in the next meeting they bet on “one or more interceptions” of this player. Then they expect the next of the selected 5-6 players to misfire, and again place a bet on the designated option in his next match after the misfire. And all these bets are made on the basis of the “Ladder” theory.
A number of bookmakers offer to place a bet on the number of block shots by an individual player of the opponent's throws.
There are not many block shots either.
It is frankly difficult to place bets on this statistic. It is even harder to be in the black here, because it is difficult to predict when a player will be able to block the opponent's throw, and the bookmaker sets extremely inconvenient odds.
You can try to catch up that in one of the matches a basketball player with a high percentage of block shots will make two or more blocks, for which the operator sets a high coefficient, but you can run into a protracted streak of losses, so it is better not to use this statistic.
The basis of success at a distance when playing on the statistical indicators of players is competent and painstaking work with a large layer of statistical information. But as the above mentioned examples have shown, the result of such painstaking work will be a good plus at a distance.