The composition of the participants in any tennis competition is formed by direct invitations, as well as a qualification stage. In its course, athletes who do not have the highest place in the world rankings try to get a ticket to the main stage for themselves. It is rare to find a representative of the TOP-50 at the stage of qualifying matches, but for betting fans this part of the competition is also of interest. What features can be identified, what patterns can be traced?
Content
- Male category
- First round of qualification – TM 2.5 in sets
- Seed Tennis Players Pass
- The final stage of selection – TB 20.5
- Wild card betting
- Female category
- Representatives of TOP-100 – defeat in the first game
- Final round – TB 2.5 by games
- 0-2 against alternative athletes
- Tie-break – no
- conclusions
Male category
The qualification stage is not the most favorite pastime of tennis players, since it makes you waste energy and emotions even before the start of the main stage of the competition. For this reason, TOP-100 representatives usually easily deal with rivals in order to save energy for the main tournament.
First round of qualification – TM 2.5 in sets
The qualification stage system is designed in such a way that tennis players of completely different class and level meet in the first round. Very often there is a situation in which a representative of the first “hundred” of the world ranking meets an athlete from the second “thousand”. For this reason, you can safely bet on the exact score 2: 0 or TM 2.5 in sets.
True, it is better to refuse this bet if the tennis players are not shared by at least 100 positions in the ranking.
For example, at the ATP Adelaide 2020, there were eight matches in the first qualifying round – seven of which ended 2-0. Only Polmans and Caruso exchanged sets (100th and 119th positions in the world ranking, respectively).
A separate material will help you learn how to select events for betting on the exact score in tennis.
Seed Tennis Players Pass
Before the qualifying stage, tennis players receive a seed based on their position in the world rankings. Usually, it is the seeded players that end up in the second round, they also play the available tickets among themselves. You can safely bet that the first four tennis players by rating will definitely be in the next stage of the competition.
You can learn more about the peculiarities of playing “from the favorite” in tennis matches in a special note
For example, at the ATP Budapest 2019 tournament, seven seeded athletes won in eight matches of the first round. The pattern was interrupted only by Rosol, who was forced to withdraw due to the damage he received. And it was the first four seedlings that got into the main stage.
The final stage of selection – TB 20.5
In the final round of the qualifying stage, there are usually the most worthy and strong tennis players who are able to hold their serve, and also, due to their character, return to the game. Even if the meeting ends with a score of 2: 0, athletes spend at least 10 games per set. Most often, tennis players exchange games altogether, which automatically presupposes breaking through the total in question.
The optimal moments for betting on total tennis events can be found in the following article
For example, at the ATP Marseille 2020 tournament, all four matches of the final round ended with a score of 2: 1. They were held: 36, 33, 30 and 26 games.
Wild card betting
Usually, young talents and not the most famous representatives of the host country receive wild-cards at the qualification stage.
(Wild-card (Wild-card, “Wild Card”, Eng.) -. A separate invitation from the organizers of the tournament the team / athlete are not selected may be provided on the basis of audience sympathy or well-known athletes, from which await bright game, Ed. . )
Tennis players very rarely justify such an advance, since they simply cannot compete on equal terms with high-level rivals, do not have such a serious competitive experience. For this reason, you can safely bet on the victory of your opponent with an accurate score of 2: 0.
It is important to note that this pattern is also true for the female category.
For example, at the ATP Vienna tournament, three tennis players at once received a wild-card and in the first round they fought with seeded participants of the competition. All three meetings ended in defeats with an accurate score of 0: 2. The closest one to picking at least one set was Midler – he lost the first game in a tie-break.
Female category
But women have a more positive attitude to the qualification stage, since it allows them to gain a decent move, game tone. Due to participation in this stage, some tennis players straighten out in the first rounds of the main rally with very strong and strong rivals.
You can read about the reasons for the instability of female tennis players in a special study.
Representatives of TOP-100 – defeat in the first game
One of the main features of the women's category is the instability of the participants in the competition. When the difference in class and level over the competitor is quite large, some athletes go to the court relaxed, as if they are completely sure in advance of their final victory. This is used by a super-motivated tennis player acting in the status of a dark horse. This can be used with the expectation that it will be possible to bet on the favorite in live, since the coefficient will become much higher.
Other features of live tennis betting can be found in a separate article.
For example, Daria Kasatkina systematically loses the first game; at WTA Doha 2020, she played two matches in the qualifying stage. The starting set invariably remained with the rivals, but the athlete pulled herself together in time and won.
Final round – TB 2.5 by games
It is very difficult for tennis players to maintain a high level of play throughout the match. For this reason, most often tennis players exchange games and decide everything in the third set. This is especially evident in the final stage of qualification, when no one wants to concede, leave the competition without a fight.
Another good bet option is TB 18.5 games
For example, at the WTA New York, there were six bouts in the qualifying finals. Only in one of them was TB 2.5 not broken in games (Lynette defeated Blinkova) with a score of 2: 0, but even in it the tennis players played two tie-breaks, the number of games exceeded 25.5.
0-2 against alternative athletes
Each tournament tries to hedge against the absence of athletes, therefore, it adds alternative tennis players to the general card of the competition. These are participants who can perform in the event that, for some reason, one of the declared players has not arrived. And if in men the alternative player manages to impose struggle and resistance, then in the women's category the matter usually ends in a major defeat with a score of 2: 0.
For example, at the WTA Kuala Lumpur 2017 tournament, tennis player from Thailand Wongteanchay acted as an alternative participant, who was able to score only four games for the entire fight.
Tie-break – no
The instability of women's serve leads to a huge number of breaks, tennis players rarely go game to game, usually one of the athletes takes the lead and brings the matter to victory in the game. And if there are quite a lot of tie-breaks in the main stage, then in qualification they practically do not occur.
You can find out about the features of tie-break bets (there are also a lot of them and they allow you to place bets) in this review.
So, at the WTA Gstaad tournament, 18 battles were fought for the qualification stage. Only in two of them did it come to a tie-break, and only in one of the games.
conclusions
The qualification stage does have some serious differences compared to the main stage of the competition. This also applies to the fact that there are patterns in the male and female categories.
